Football · USA NPSL · 01/07, 00:00

Gios Lions SC vs Michigan Rangers

Expected goals: 3.91 (Gios Lions SC 1.36 · Michigan Rangers 2.55). The model gives 18% home, 20% draw, 62% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.

62%2

18% 20% 62%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gios Lions SC 1529 · Michigan Rangers 1520

	Gios Lions SC	Draw	Michigan Rangers
Our model	18%	19%	62%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals3.91Gios Lions SC 1.36 · Michigan Rangers 2.55

Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%

BTTSYes · 60%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Michigan Rangers: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gios Lions SC	Michigan Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.8	3.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.7

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 5.00 → 5.00 – 0%

X 4.50 → 4.50 – 0%

2 1.44 → 1.44 – 0%

Over/Under 3.5

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gios Lions SC 0–0–4 Michigan Rangers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/05/26 USA NPSL	Michigan Rangers	3-2 HT 1-2	Gios Lions SC
10/07/25 USA NPSL	Michigan Rangers	2-0 HT 1-0	Gios Lions SC
09/06/25 USA NPSL	Gios Lions SC	1-5 HT 0-3	Michigan Rangers
26/05/25 USA NPSL	Michigan Rangers	2-1 HT 1-0	Gios Lions SC

Standings · USA NPSL · Central States Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Pride	9	5	2	2	32	14	17
2	Gios Lions SC	9	5	2	2	24	16	17
3	Milwaukee Torrent	9	5	1	3	28	15	16
4	Michigan Rangers	8	5	1	2	32	12	16
5	Wisconsin Conquerors FC	10	4	0	6	17	30	12
6	Southern Indiana Guardians	9	0	0	9	9	55	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gios Lions SC	Michigan Rangers
Wisconsin Conquerors FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
FC Pride	1-1 D	2-1 W
Southern Indiana Guardians	4-3 W	12-0 W
Milwaukee Torrent	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Gios Lions SC

LWLWWLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Wisconsin Conquerors FC USA NPSL	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/06	FC Pride USA NPSL	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
21/06	Southern Indiana Guardians USA NPSL	1-3	4-3	4	5	W
14/06	Milwaukee Torrent USA NPSL	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
07/06	FC Pride USA NPSL	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
04/06	Wisconsin Conquerors FC USA NPSL	4-1	6-2	–	–	W
31/05	Milwaukee Torrent USA NPSL	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
28/05	Michigan Rangers USA NPSL	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	Southern Indiana Guardians USA NPSL	3-1	5-2	–	–	W
10/07	Michigan Rangers USA NPSL	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Michigan Rangers

LLWWDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/06	Wisconsin Conquerors FC USA NPSL	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
15/06	FC Pride USA NPSL	2-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/06	Milwaukee Torrent USA NPSL	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
01/06	Wisconsin Conquerors FC USA NPSL	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
28/05	Gios Lions SC USA NPSL	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	FC Pride USA NPSL	0-1	2-2	9	7	D
09/05	Southern Indiana Guardians USA NPSL	5-0	12-0	–	–	W
03/05	Southern Indiana Guardians USA NPSL	3-0	9-0	–	–	W
18/03	Detroit City FC USA US Open Cup	1-1	1-5	1	2	L
27/07	El Farolito USA NPSL	0-1	0-2	5	6	L