⚽ Football · USA NPSL · 26/06, 01:00
DMV Elite FC vs District Elite
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · DMV Elite FC 1420 · District Elite 1496
| DMV Elite FC | Draw | District Elite | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.42DMV Elite FC 1.64 · District Elite 1.78
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 67%
Likely score1-1
💎 Valuedraw or District Elite · @1.95Safer option: double chance at 1.95 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours District Elite (rating 1420 vs 1496).
- High estimate: 3.42 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours DMV Elite FC: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| DMV Elite FC | District Elite | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.3 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · DMV Elite FC 2–0–1 District Elite
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 USA NPSL | District Elite | 1-4 HT 1-2 | DMV Elite FC |
| 03/07/25 USA NPSL | DMV Elite FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | District Elite |
| 05/06/25 USA NPSL | District Elite | 0-2 HT 0-1 | DMV Elite FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
DMV Elite FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Virginia Atlantic USA NPSL |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | Ristozi FC USA NPSL |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Alexandria Reds USA NPSL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Grove Soccer United USA NPSL |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Virginia Dream USA NPSL |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Hub City FC USA NPSL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | District Elite USA NPSL |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Ristozi FC USA NPSL |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | District Elite USA NPSL |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/06 | Grove Soccer United USA NPSL |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
District Elite
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Alexandria Reds USA NPSL |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | Ristozi FC USA NPSL |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Ristozi FC USA NPSL |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Hub City FC USA NPSL |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Virginia Dream USA NPSL |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Grove Soccer United USA NPSL |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | FC Frederick USA NPSL |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | DMV Elite FC USA NPSL |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/07 | Ristozi FC USA NPSL |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | DMV Elite FC USA NPSL |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |