⚽ Football · Australia Darwin Premier League · 27/06, 10:30
Palmerston Rovers FC vs Casuarina FC
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Palmerston Rovers FC 1451 · Casuarina FC 1486
| Palmerston Rovers FC | Draw | Casuarina FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| Market | 28% | 20% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.28 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.28Palmerston Rovers FC 2.21 · Casuarina FC 2.07
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 53%
BTTSYes · 78%
Likely score2-2
💎 ValuePalmerston Rovers FC or draw · @2.08Safer option: double chance at 2.08 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 4.28 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palmerston Rovers FC | Casuarina FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 2.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 2.3 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Palmerston Rovers FC 0–0–1 Casuarina FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Darwin Premier League | Casuarina FC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Palmerston Rovers FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Palmerston Rovers FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Port Darwin FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-6 | 0-10 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | University Azzurri FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
4-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Garuda FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Hellenic AC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Darwin Olympic Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-6 | 2-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Casuarina FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Port Darwin FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
2-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Mindil Aces Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | University Azzurri FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Casuarina FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 05/06 | Garuda FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Hellenic AC Australia Darwin Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Darwin Olympic Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | University Azzurri FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Port Darwin FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Mindil Aces Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Palmerston Rovers FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Garuda FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |