Football · China Super League Women · 28/06, 13:35
Shanghai (W) vs Jiangsu Suning (W)
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shanghai (W) 1555 · Jiangsu Suning (W) 1551
| Shanghai (W) | Draw | Jiangsu Suning (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.46Shanghai (W) 1.45 · Jiangsu Suning (W) 1
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 54%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai (W) | Jiangsu Suning (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 13/75/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai (W) 1–5–0 Jiangsu Suning (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/25 China Super League Women | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 1-1 | Shanghai (W) |
| 15/06/25 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Jiangsu Suning (W) |
| 14/09/24 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 0-0 | Jiangsu Suning (W) |
| 08/06/24 China Super League Women | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shanghai (W) |
| 02/09/23 China Super League Women | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 1-1 | Shanghai (W) |
| 18/04/23 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Jiangsu Suning (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/11 | Guangdong Province (W) China National Games Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/09 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | Henan (W) China Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Jiangsu Suning (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/11 | Hubei Province (W) China National Games Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/09 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |