Football · China Super League Women · 28/06, 13:35
Shandong (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shandong (W) 1449 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1497
| Shandong (W) | Draw | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.25Shandong (W) 1.24 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1.01
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) (rating 1449 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Shandong (W): 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shandong (W) | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong (W) 3–1–2 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/25 China Super League Women | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shandong (W) |
| 11/06/25 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) |
| 31/08/24 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 3-1 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) |
| 11/05/24 China Super League Women | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shandong (W) |
| 19/11/23 China Super League Women | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2-0 | Shandong (W) |
| 10/05/23 China Super League Women | Shandong (W) | 2-1 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shandong (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/11 | Beijing National (W) China National Games Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/11 | Liaoning Province (W) China National Games Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/11 | Chongqing Province (W) China National Games Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/09 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 07/09 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |