Football · Ethiopia Premier League · 26/06, 12:00
Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
52%1
Model analysis
Expected goals1.77Negelle Arsi 1.22 · Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0.55
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 54%
BTTSNo · 56%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Negelle Arsi (rating 1525 vs 1479).
- Low estimate: 1.77 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Negelle Arsi | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Negelle Arsi 1–0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Negelle Arsi |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Negelle Arsi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/06 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/04 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/06 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Arba Minch Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/04 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |