Football · Ethiopia Premier League · 27/06, 14:00
Hadiya Hossana vs Dire Dawa
53%1
Model analysis
Expected goals1.8Hadiya Hossana 1.26 · Dire Dawa 0.54
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 53%
BTTSNo · 56%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hadiya Hossana (rating 1505 vs 1452).
- Low estimate: 1.8 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hadiya Hossana | Dire Dawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 2 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hadiya Hossana 2–2–2 Dire Dawa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Dire Dawa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hadiya Hossana |
| 08/04/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Hadiya Hossana | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dire Dawa |
| 06/11/24 Ethiopia Premier League | Dire Dawa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hadiya Hossana |
| 21/06/24 Ethiopia Premier League | Dire Dawa | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Hadiya Hossana |
| 02/02/24 Ethiopia Premier League | Hadiya Hossana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dire Dawa |
| 10/04/23 Ethiopia Premier League | Hadiya Hossana | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Dire Dawa |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hadiya Hossana
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 15/06 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 19/04 | Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Dire Dawa
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 11 | D |
| 15/05 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/04 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |