Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 · 27/06, 19:45
Audax Rio vs Resende RJ
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audax Rio 1425 · Resende RJ 1576
| Audax Rio | Draw | Resende RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 27% | 58% |
| Market | 16% | 26% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.35Audax Rio 0.73 · Resende RJ 1.62
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resende RJ (rating 1425 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Audax Rio: 3-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.2 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audax Rio | Resende RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 1 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Rio 3–1–0 Resende RJ
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Audax Rio | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Resende RJ |
| 24/07/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Resende RJ | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Audax Rio |
| 09/03/23 Brazil Campeonato Carioca | Resende RJ | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Audax Rio |
| 07/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Carioca | Resende RJ | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Audax Rio |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audax Rio
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 16/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 13/08 | America RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Resende RJ
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Copa Rio |
3-0 | 8-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Copa Rio |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 09/05 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |