Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 · 27/06, 21:00
Araruama FC vs Olaria AC
41%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Araruama FC 1461 · Olaria AC 1539
| Araruama FC | Draw | Olaria AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 32% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 31% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.11Araruama FC 0.91 · Olaria AC 1.19
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 52%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olaria AC (rating 1461 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Olaria AC: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Araruama FC | Olaria AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.4 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.8 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Araruama FC 1–0–2 Olaria AC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Olaria AC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Araruama FC |
| 13/07/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Olaria AC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Araruama FC |
| 27/05/23 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Araruama FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Olaria AC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Araruama FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 14/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Olaria AC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Copa Rio |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |