⚽ Football · Iceland 4 Deild · 25/06, 21:15
Vaengir Jupiters vs KF Hafnir
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vaengir Jupiters 1497 · KF Hafnir 1415
| Vaengir Jupiters | Draw | KF Hafnir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| Market | 66% | 17% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickVaengir Jupiters · 62%
Expected goals4.5Vaengir Jupiters 2.71 · KF Hafnir 1.79
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 78%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vaengir Jupiters (rating 1497 vs 1415).
- High estimate: 4.5 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Vaengir Jupiters: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.8 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vaengir Jupiters | KF Hafnir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 2.5 | 0.9 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 2.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 3.2 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaengir Jupiters 2–0–0 KF Hafnir
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 Iceland 4 Deild | KF Hafnir | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Vaengir Jupiters |
| 19/06/25 Iceland 4 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 3-2 HT 1-1 | KF Hafnir |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Vaengir Jupiters
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
0-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 07/05 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | BF 108 Iceland League Cup C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | KM Reykjavik Iceland League Cup C |
5-1 | 8-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/03 | Haukar Iceland Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
KF Hafnir
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 09/06 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
0-5 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
0-6 | 0-8 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-5 | 2-8 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/05 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/03 | FC Arbaer Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | KFS Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |