⚽ Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 26/06, 21:15
KV Vesturbaer vs Vidir Gardur
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KV Vesturbaer 1479 · Vidir Gardur 1568
| KV Vesturbaer | Draw | Vidir Gardur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 19% | 44% |
| Market | 15% | 16% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.49 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.49KV Vesturbaer 2.13 · Vidir Gardur 2.36
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 80%
Likely score2-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vidir Gardur (rating 1479 vs 1568).
- High estimate: 4.49 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Vidir Gardur: 2-1-1.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1.2 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KV Vesturbaer | Vidir Gardur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · KV Vesturbaer 1–1–2 Vidir Gardur
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/24 Iceland 3 Deild | KV Vesturbaer | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vidir Gardur |
| 14/06/24 Iceland 3 Deild | Vidir Gardur | 8-0 HT 2-0 | KV Vesturbaer |
| 02/08/17 Iceland 2 Deild | KV Vesturbaer | 0-3 | Vidir Gardur |
| 26/05/17 Iceland 2 Deild | Vidir Gardur | 2-2 | KV Vesturbaer |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
KV Vesturbaer
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 06/06 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 5-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | Fjolnir Iceland League Cup B |
1-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 6 | L |
Vidir Gardur
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 4-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 01/06 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Haukar Iceland League Cup B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 01/04 | Fjolnir Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |