⚽ Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 26/06, 21:15
UMF Selfoss vs Haukar
41%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UMF Selfoss 1513 · Haukar 1583
| UMF Selfoss | Draw | Haukar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| Market | 37% | 22% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.33UMF Selfoss 1.61 · Haukar 1.71
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 54%
BTTSYes · 66%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haukar (rating 1513 vs 1583).
- High estimate: 3.33 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours UMF Selfoss: 4-0-2.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UMF Selfoss | Haukar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.4 | 4.3 / 8.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · UMF Selfoss 4–0–2 Haukar
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/25 Iceland Cup | UMF Selfoss | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Haukar |
| 26/08/24 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 1-2 HT 0-1 | UMF Selfoss |
| 06/08/24 Iceland Lower League Cup | UMF Selfoss | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Haukar |
| 24/06/24 Iceland 2 Deild | UMF Selfoss | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Haukar |
| 07/03/24 Iceland League Cup B | Haukar | 3-2 HT 1-2 | UMF Selfoss |
| 02/09/20 Iceland 2 Deild | UMF Selfoss | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Haukar |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
UMF Selfoss
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 05/04 | Stjarnan Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Haukar
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 15/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 6-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Fjolnir Iceland League Cup B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |