Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 27/06, 16:00
Vikingur Olafsvik vs KFG Gardabaer
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vikingur Olafsvik 1508 · KFG Gardabaer 1469
| Vikingur Olafsvik | Draw | KFG Gardabaer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| Market | 62% | 18% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.29Vikingur Olafsvik 2.73 · KFG Gardabaer 1.56
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 53%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 4.29 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Vikingur Olafsvik: 4-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Olafsvik | KFG Gardabaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.3 | 2.3 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Olafsvik 4–2–0 KFG Gardabaer
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild | KFG Gardabaer | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vikingur Olafsvik |
| 10/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Vikingur Olafsvik | 4-1 HT 2-1 | KFG Gardabaer |
| 01/09/24 Iceland 2 Deild | Vikingur Olafsvik | 4-0 HT 2-0 | KFG Gardabaer |
| 29/06/24 Iceland 2 Deild | KFG Gardabaer | 4-4 HT 1-0 | Vikingur Olafsvik |
| 12/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild | Vikingur Olafsvik | 2-2 | KFG Gardabaer |
| 03/06/23 Iceland 2 Deild | KFG Gardabaer | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Vikingur Olafsvik |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Olafsvik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 14/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Arborg Iceland Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
KFG Gardabaer
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-5 | 0-6 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/04 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland League Cup B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/03 | Vidir Gardur Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | L |