Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 27/06, 16:00
Dalvik/Reynir vs Fjardabyggd
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalvik/Reynir 1528 · Fjardabyggd 1470
| Dalvik/Reynir | Draw | Fjardabyggd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.51Dalvik/Reynir 1.91 · Fjardabyggd 1.6
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalvik/Reynir (rating 1528 vs 1470).
- High estimate: 3.51 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Fjardabyggd: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 2.6 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 1.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalvik/Reynir | Fjardabyggd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalvik/Reynir 1–2–3 Fjardabyggd
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Dalvik/Reynir | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fjardabyggd |
| 20/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 3-4 HT 1-0 | Dalvik/Reynir |
| 03/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 1-0 | Dalvik/Reynir |
| 26/05/23 Iceland 2 Deild | Dalvik/Reynir | 2-2 | Fjardabyggd |
| 19/09/20 Iceland 2 Deild | Dalvik/Reynir | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Fjardabyggd |
| 17/07/20 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dalvik/Reynir |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalvik/Reynir
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
5-0 | 6-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 20/03 | Magni Grenivik Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Fjardabyggd
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 10/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
3-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
4-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 02/04 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |