Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 27/06, 18:00
Kari vs Magni Grenivik
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kari 1546 · Magni Grenivik 1440
| Kari | Draw | Magni Grenivik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 18% | 19% |
| Market | 62% | 19% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.28 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.28Kari 2.75 · Magni Grenivik 1.53
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kari (rating 1546 vs 1440).
- High estimate: 4.28 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Kari: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kari | Magni Grenivik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 2 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.4 | 2.1 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kari 3–2–1 Magni Grenivik
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/24 Iceland 3 Deild | Magni Grenivik | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Kari |
| 17/07/24 Iceland Lower League Cup | Kari | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Magni Grenivik |
| 29/06/24 Iceland 3 Deild | Kari | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Magni Grenivik |
| 15/09/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Kari | 2-0 | Magni Grenivik |
| 08/07/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Magni Grenivik | 3-3 | Kari |
| 18/09/21 Iceland 2 Deild | Magni Grenivik | 3-1 | Kari |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kari
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 6-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/03 | Alftanes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
Magni Grenivik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 05/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-4 | 1-7 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Tindastoll Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |