Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 01/07, 21:15
Haukar vs Kari
Expected goals: 3.76 (Haukar 2.37 · Kari 1.38). The model gives 59% home, 20% draw, 21% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haukar 1560 · Kari 1543
| Haukar | Draw | Kari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | 59% | 20% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.76Haukar 2.37 · Kari 1.38
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 16.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Haukar | Kari | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 2.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.8 / 9.4 | 2.5 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haukar 3–0–3 Kari
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Haukar |
| 04/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Kari |
| 14/03/25 Iceland League Cup B | Haukar | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Kari |
| 12/09/21 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Haukar |
| 05/07/21 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Kari |
| 09/09/20 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Haukar |
Standings · Iceland 2 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | Dalvik/Reynir | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Kari | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 17 |
| 4 | UMF Selfoss | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 5 | Kormakur/Hvot | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | Fjolnir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 14 |
| 7 | Vikingur Olafsvik | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | KFG Gardabaer | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 29 | 12 |
| 9 | Hviti Riddarinn | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | Fjardabyggd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 10 |
| 11 | Throttur Vogar | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 12 | Magni Grenivik | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Haukar | Kari |
|---|---|---|
| UMF Selfoss | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Vikingur Olafsvik | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Dalvik/Reynir | 0-3 L | 6-0 W |
| Kormakur/Hvot | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Hviti Riddarinn | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fjardabyggd | 3-2 W | 4-2 W |
| KFG Gardabaer | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Fjolnir | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Magni Grenivik | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Throttur Vogar | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Haukar (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haukar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 15/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 6-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Kari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 6-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |