Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 27/06, 16:00
Kormakur/Hvot vs Hviti Riddarinn
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kormakur/Hvot 1490 · Hviti Riddarinn 1496
| Kormakur/Hvot | Draw | Hviti Riddarinn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.58Kormakur/Hvot 2.29 · Hviti Riddarinn 1.29
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.58 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Hviti Riddarinn: 3-0-2.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (1.1 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kormakur/Hvot | Hviti Riddarinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.1 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.5 | 2.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kormakur/Hvot 2–0–3 Hviti Riddarinn
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/25 Iceland League Cup B | Hviti Riddarinn | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kormakur/Hvot |
| 12/08/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Hviti Riddarinn | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kormakur/Hvot |
| 03/06/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Kormakur/Hvot | 2-0 | Hviti Riddarinn |
| 19/06/21 Iceland 4 Deild | Hviti Riddarinn | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Kormakur/Hvot |
| 13/04/19 Iceland Cup | Hviti Riddarinn | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Kormakur/Hvot |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kormakur/Hvot
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
4-1 | 7-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 04/04 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Volsungur Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
Hviti Riddarinn
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
3-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 10/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 13/04 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland League Cup B |
1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 30/03 | Njardvik Iceland Cup |
0-5 | 2-5 | 0 | 6 | L |