⚽ Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 26/06, 21:15
Throttur Vogar vs Fjolnir
47%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Throttur Vogar 1436 · Fjolnir 1536
| Throttur Vogar | Draw | Fjolnir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| Market | 30% | 21% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.8Throttur Vogar 1.75 · Fjolnir 2.05
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 72%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fjolnir (rating 1436 vs 1536).
- High estimate: 3.8 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Fjolnir: 2-0-0.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Throttur Vogar | Fjolnir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 2.9 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Vogar 0–0–2 Fjolnir
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/22 Iceland 1 Deild | Fjolnir | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Throttur Vogar |
| 06/05/22 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Vogar | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Fjolnir |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Throttur Vogar
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland League Cup B |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Fjolnir
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Haukar Iceland League Cup B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland League Cup B |
1-1 | 6-4 | 11 | 6 | W |