⚽ Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/06, 17:30
PPS vs PPJ/Lauttasaari
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PPS 1387 · PPJ/Lauttasaari 1549
| PPS | Draw | PPJ/Lauttasaari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| Market | 4% | 6% | 90% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.72 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.72PPS 2 · PPJ/Lauttasaari 2.72
BTTSYes · 81%
Most likely total4 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PPJ/Lauttasaari (rating 1387 vs 1549).
- High estimate: 4.72 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.1 + 1.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PPS | PPJ/Lauttasaari | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 3.6 | 3.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
PPS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 0-11 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/03 | IF Gnistan M35 Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
PPJ/Lauttasaari
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 7-3 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 5-3 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Töölön Taisto Finland Cup |
2-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | L |