⚽ Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/06, 17:15
LPS Helsinki vs FC Kontu
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LPS Helsinki 1550 · FC Kontu 1451
| LPS Helsinki | Draw | FC Kontu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 19% | 23% |
| Market | 70% | 16% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.47LPS Helsinki 2.75 · FC Kontu 1.72
BTTSYes · 77%
Most likely total4 goals
🔑 Match keys
- LPS Helsinki usually leads at HT (78%) while FC Kontu trails (60%): look at home at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LPS Helsinki (rating 1550 vs 1451).
- High estimate: 4.47 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours FC Kontu: 2-2-1.
- Early goals: 2.3 combined avg at HT (2 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LPS Helsinki | FC Kontu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 1 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 78/11/11% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.2 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · LPS Helsinki 1–2–2 FC Kontu
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/24 Finland Kolmonen | LPS Helsinki | 4-4 HT 3-2 | FC Kontu |
| 18/06/24 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kontu | 3-2 HT 3-0 | LPS Helsinki |
| 08/09/23 Finland Kolmonen | LPS Helsinki | 3-3 HT 2-0 | FC Kontu |
| 02/06/23 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kontu | 5-1 HT 2-1 | LPS Helsinki |
| 21/04/17 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kontu | 1-2 HT 0-0 | LPS Helsinki |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
LPS Helsinki
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
3-2 | 7-4 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
3-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/05 | Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | PPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
FC Kontu
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
1-4 | 2-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 07/05 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | ToTe Finland Cup |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |