Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/06, 14:00
MaPS vs PIF Parainen
44%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MaPS 1494 · PIF Parainen 1550
| MaPS | Draw | PIF Parainen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 32% | 23% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.02MaPS 1.36 · PIF Parainen 1.66
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PIF Parainen (rating 1494 vs 1550).
- H2H favours PIF Parainen: 2-4-0.
- Early goals: 2 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 1.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 14 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MaPS | PIF Parainen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 57/29/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.3 | 4 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MaPS 0–4–2 PIF Parainen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/25 Finland Kolmonen | MaPS | 2-2 | PIF Parainen |
| 29/04/25 Finland Kolmonen | PIF Parainen | 2-0 HT 0-0 | MaPS |
| 29/03/25 Finland Cup | MaPS | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PIF Parainen |
| 16/08/24 Finland Kolmonen | MaPS | 0-2 HT 0-0 | PIF Parainen |
| 29/05/24 Finland Kolmonen | PIF Parainen | 2-2 HT 2-0 | MaPS |
| 23/08/19 Finland Kolmonen | MaPS | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PIF Parainen |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MaPS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 12/06 | EuPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | LTU Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | VG-62 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | AIFK Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
PIF Parainen
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | LTU Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | P-Iirot Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | JyTy Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | ACE Finland Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |