⚽ Football · New Zealand Southern League · 27/06, 04:45
Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cashmere Technical 1649 · Ferrymead Bays 1515
| Cashmere Technical | Draw | Ferrymead Bays | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| Market | 71% | 16% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.12 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.12Cashmere Technical 2.69 · Ferrymead Bays 1.43
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 72%
Most likely total4 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cashmere Technical (rating 1649 vs 1515).
- High estimate: 4.12 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Cashmere Technical: 6-0-0.
- Early goals: 3.8 combined avg at HT (2.5 + 1.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cashmere Technical | Ferrymead Bays | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.9 / 0.7 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.5 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 8.8 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Cashmere Technical 6–0–0 Ferrymead Bays
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 New Zealand Cup | Ferrymead Bays | 3-4 HT 2-3 | Cashmere Technical |
| 03/04/26 New Zealand Southern League | Ferrymead Bays | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Cashmere Technical |
| 24/02/26 World Club Friendlies | Cashmere Technical | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Ferrymead Bays |
| 09/08/25 New Zealand Southern League | Ferrymead Bays | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Cashmere Technical |
| 03/05/25 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Ferrymead Bays |
| 24/08/24 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ferrymead Bays |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Cashmere Technical
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Cup |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
5-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
6-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Ferrymead Bays
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Cup |
2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
3-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/04 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/04 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |