Football · Tanzania Premier League · 30/06, 15:00

Simba Sports Club vs KMC FC

Expected goals: 3.77 (Simba Sports Club 2.89 · KMC FC 0.89). The model gives 78% home, 14% draw, 8% away. Under 4 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 2-0.

78%1

78% 14% 8%

Model analysis

Expected goals3.77Simba Sports Club 2.89 · KMC FC 0.89

Over / Under 4Under 4 · 53%

BTTSYes · 54%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simba Sports Club (rating 1639 vs 1364).
H2H favours Simba Sports Club: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Simba Sports Club	KMC FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.2	0.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.2	0.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.8	3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	2.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Simba Sports Club 5–1–0 KMC FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Tanzania Premier League	KMC FC	0-2 HT 0-2	Simba Sports Club
11/05/25 Tanzania Premier League	KMC FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Simba Sports Club
06/11/24 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	4-0 HT 2-0	KMC FC
25/05/24 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	1-0 HT 1-0	KMC FC
23/12/23 Tanzania Premier League	KMC FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Simba Sports Club
26/12/22 Tanzania Premier League	KMC FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Simba Sports Club

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Africans	29	22	6	1	68	9	72
2	Simba Sports Club	29	21	7	1	53	11	70
3	Azam FC	29	17	10	2	44	12	61
4	Singida Black Stars	29	15	5	9	44	31	50
5	TRA United	29	11	9	9	33	28	42
6	JKT Tanzania	29	10	12	7	30	30	42
7	Pamba SC	29	9	9	11	31	33	36
8	Dodoma Jiji FC	29	8	11	10	25	34	35
9	Coastal Union	29	8	9	12	29	36	33
10	Mashujaa FC	29	7	12	10	15	26	33
11	Namungo FC	29	6	13	10	23	31	31
12	Singida Fountain Gate FC	29	8	6	15	21	41	30
13	Mbeya City	29	7	8	14	24	41	29
14	Tanzania Prisons	29	8	5	16	22	41	29
15	Mtibwa Sugar	29	6	9	14	24	46	27
16	KMC FC	29	2	3	24	16	52	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Simba Sports Club	KMC FC
Mtibwa Sugar	3-0 W	3-4 L
Coastal Union	4-0 W	1-3 L
Pamba SC	2-1 W	0-1 L
TRA United	4-0 W	0-1 L
Mashujaa FC	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Simba Sports Club (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Simba Sports Club

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/06	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Cup	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
17/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/06	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
24/05	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
21/05	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	2-1	2-1	9	3	W
17/05	TRA United Tanzania Cup	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
14/05	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
10/05	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	3-0	4-0	7	2	W

KMC FC

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
24/06	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	1-2	2-3	4	0	L
15/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
12/06	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
25/05	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-3	0-3	5	1	L
20/05	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
14/05	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	0-2	3-4	–	–	L
10/05	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
06/05	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
30/04	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	7	L