⚽ Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 26/06, 21:00
Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Lisburn (W)
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1486 · Lisburn (W) 1404
| Lisburn Rangers (W) | Draw | Lisburn (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 82% | 11% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.76Lisburn Rangers (W) 2.34 · Lisburn (W) 1.42
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisburn Rangers (W) (rating 1486 vs 1404).
- High estimate: 3.76 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Lisburn Rangers (W): 4-0-0.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lisburn Rangers (W) | Lisburn (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 0.8 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.9 | 0.4 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisburn Rangers (W) 4–0–0 Lisburn (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lisburn (W) |
| 04/08/25 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women | Lisburn (W) | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
| 20/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
| 14/06/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Lisburn Rangers (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Galway (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/10 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/09 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-5 | 1-8 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Lisburn (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-8 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/04 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/10 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |