⚽ Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 26/06, 21:00
Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Linfield (W)
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crusaders Strikers (W) 1492 · Linfield (W) 1526
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | Draw | Linfield (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| Market | 7% | 12% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.3Crusaders Strikers (W) 2.22 · Linfield (W) 2.08
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 4.3 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Linfield (W): 5-1-0.
- Early goals: 3.5 combined avg at HT (1.5 + 2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | Linfield (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.5 | 3.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/0/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders Strikers (W) 0–1–5 Linfield (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Linfield (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 01/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Linfield (W) |
| 16/05/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Linfield (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 06/09/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Linfield (W) |
| 14/06/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Linfield (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 28/04/23 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Linfield (W) | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Crusaders Strikers (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/04 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Linfield (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 8-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Galway (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Sligo Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
5-0 | 9-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 01/04 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |