⚽ Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 27/06, 07:00
Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs Canberra Olympic (W)
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1434 · Canberra Olympic (W) 1511
| Tuggeranong Utd (W) | Draw | Canberra Olympic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 5% | 12% | 82% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.04Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1.45 · Canberra Olympic (W) 1.59
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Olympic (W) (rating 1434 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Canberra Olympic (W): 5-1-0.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tuggeranong Utd (W) | Canberra Olympic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.7 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 1.8 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Tuggeranong Utd (W) 0–1–5 Canberra Olympic (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Olympic (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) |
| 19/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Canberra Olympic (W) |
| 22/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Olympic (W) | 8-0 HT 6-0 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) |
| 27/04/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Olympic (W) | 7-2 HT 3-2 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) |
| 11/08/24 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Olympic (W) | 8-0 HT 3-0 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) |
| 16/06/24 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Canberra Olympic (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Tuggeranong Utd (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Canberra Olympic (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-1 | 7-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |