Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 28/06, 07:00
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)
84%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1420 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 1617
| West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | Draw | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 4% | 8% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.44West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 0.72 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 2.72
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 59%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Canberra Croatia FC (W) usually leads at HT (60%) while West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) trails (60%): look at away at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Croatia FC (W) (rating 1420 vs 1617).
- High estimate: 3.44 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Canberra Croatia FC (W): 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.3 combined avg at HT (0.3 + 2) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 3.5 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.6 | 2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 3.3 | 1.8 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1–0–5 Canberra Croatia FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) |
| 19/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 6-0 HT 1-0 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) |
| 17/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) |
| 29/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 1-6 HT 0-4 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
| 04/05/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) |
| 11/08/24 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-7 | 1-8 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-7 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
5-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
6-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 0 | W |