⚽ Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 27/06, 06:00
Charlestown Azzurri vs Belmont Swansea United SC
47%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlestown Azzurri 1437 · Belmont Swansea United SC 1551
| Charlestown Azzurri | Draw | Belmont Swansea United SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| Market | 30% | 23% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.42Charlestown Azzurri 1.51 · Belmont Swansea United SC 1.91
BTTSYes · 67%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belmont Swansea United SC (rating 1437 vs 1551).
- High estimate: 3.42 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Charlestown Azzurri: 2-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.2 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlestown Azzurri | Belmont Swansea United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 3.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlestown Azzurri 2–1–1 Belmont Swansea United SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Belmont Swansea United SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Charlestown Azzurri |
| 29/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Belmont Swansea United SC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Charlestown Azzurri |
| 08/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Charlestown Azzurri | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Belmont Swansea United SC |
| 07/05/19 Australia FFA Cup | Charlestown Azzurri | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Belmont Swansea United SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Charlestown Azzurri
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Belmont Swansea United SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 05/06 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
3-1 | 6-3 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |