Football · Chile Segunda · 28/06, 21:00
General Velásquez vs Lota Schwager
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · General Velásquez 1495 · Lota Schwager 1470
| General Velásquez | Draw | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.89General Velásquez 1.01 · Lota Schwager 0.88
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.89 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| General Velásquez | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 1.2 | 5.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · General Velásquez 0–0–1 Lota Schwager
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Chile Segunda | Lota Schwager | 1-0 HT 0-0 | General Velásquez |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
General Velásquez
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 25/04 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 05/04 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 30/11 | San Antonio Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Lota Schwager
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 07/03 | Comunal Cabrero Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |