⚽ Football · Lithuania II Lyga · 26/06, 18:30
Vilnius Football Academy vs Nevezis
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilnius Football Academy 1568 · Nevezis 1562
| Vilnius Football Academy | Draw | Nevezis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 24% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.37Vilnius Football Academy 1.89 · Nevezis 1.48
BTTSYes · 66%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.37 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 3.2 combined avg at HT (1.8 + 1.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vilnius Football Academy | Nevezis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 67/22/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 3.9 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.6 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Vilnius Football Academy
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga |
4-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga |
6-0 | 9-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 19 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | FKS Ukmerge Lithuania II Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 08/05 | Sirijus Klaipeda Lithuania II Lyga |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | DFK Dainava II Lithuania II Lyga |
2-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | FK Riteriai Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Silute Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Nevezis
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/06 | FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | FKS Ukmerge Lithuania II Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Sirijus Klaipeda Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | DFK Dainava II Lithuania II Lyga |
3-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | FK Silute Lithuania II Lyga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |