⚽ Football · Finland Kolmonen · 25/06, 19:00
FC Lasten vs FC LeKi
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Lasten 1606 · FC LeKi 1487
| FC Lasten | Draw | FC LeKi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| Market | 79% | 12% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.5FC Lasten 2.83 · FC LeKi 1.67
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 76%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lasten (rating 1606 vs 1487).
- High estimate: 4.5 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 3.4 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Lasten | FC LeKi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.4 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/11/22% | 43/14/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3 / 0.2 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Lasten
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
4-2 | 6-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
6-1 | 10-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 22/04 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Haka Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
FC LeKi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-2 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | VPS Vaasa Finland Cup |
1-4 | 1-9 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Karhu Futis Finland Cup |
3-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |