⚽ Football · Finland Kolmonen · 25/06, 19:20
Ylojarvi United vs ACE
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ylojarvi United 1459 · ACE 1419
| Ylojarvi United | Draw | ACE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 19% | 29% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.3Ylojarvi United 2.46 · ACE 1.83
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 77%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ylojarvi United (rating 1459 vs 1419).
- High estimate: 4.3 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours ACE: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.9 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ylojarvi United | ACE | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/13/38% | 11/11/78% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Ylojarvi United 1–0–2 ACE
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Finland Kolmonen | Ylojarvi United | 2-3 | ACE |
| 03/07/25 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Ylojarvi United |
| 23/05/24 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Ylojarvi United |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Ylojarvi United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | HJS Finland Cup |
0-5 | 0-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
ACE
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
4-2 | 5-4 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | PIF Parainen Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |