Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/07, 17:30
Kultsu FC vs MiPK
Expected goals: 3.74 (Kultsu FC 2.37 · MiPK 1.37). The model gives 59% home, 20% draw, 21% away. Under 4 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kultsu FC 1599 · MiPK 1533
| Kultsu FC | Draw | MiPK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 19% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.74Kultsu FC 2.37 · MiPK 1.37
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 55%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kultsu FC (rating 1599 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Kultsu FC: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 15.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kultsu FC | MiPK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.7 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 78/11/11% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.8 / 10.6 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kultsu FC 5–1–0 MiPK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Finland Kolmonen | MiPK | 1-4 | Kultsu FC |
| 03/07/25 Finland Kolmonen | Kultsu FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | MiPK |
| 13/09/24 Finland Kolmonen | MiPK | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kultsu FC |
| 13/06/24 Finland Kolmonen | Kultsu FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | MiPK |
| 10/08/23 Finland Kolmonen | Kultsu FC | 4-1 HT 2-1 | MiPK |
| 05/05/23 Finland Kolmonen | MiPK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Kultsu FC |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PeKa | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | IPS Edustus | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Kultsu FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | MiPK | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | HaPK | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 19 |
| 6 | LAUTP | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 14 |
| 7 | KJP | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | KoPa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 9 | MP II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 9 |
| 10 | Edustus STPS | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
| 11 | Kumu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 4 |
| 12 | LAUTP II | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kultsu FC | MiPK |
|---|---|---|
| LAUTP II | 8-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Kumu | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| LAUTP | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| KoPa | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| KJP | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| MP II | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| IPS Edustus | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| HaPK | 4-0 W | 3-4 L |
| PeKa | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Edustus STPS | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 1 L | 6 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kultsu FC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kultsu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 8-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 5-0 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 15 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
MiPK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/06 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |