Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/06, 16:00
TP-T vs Tampere Utd II
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · TP-T 1463 · Tampere Utd II 1564
| TP-T | Draw | Tampere Utd II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 26% | 20% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.27TP-T 1.29 · Tampere Utd II 1.98
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd II (rating 1463 vs 1564).
- High estimate: 3.27 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours TP-T: 4-0-2.
- Early goals: 2.3 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TP-T | Tampere Utd II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/25/25% | 43/14/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 6.6 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-T 4–0–2 Tampere Utd II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | Tampere Utd II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | TP-T |
| 05/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tampere Utd II |
| 02/02/25 Europe Friendlies | TP-T | 3-6 HT 1-1 | Tampere Utd II |
| 05/09/24 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tampere Utd II |
| 09/06/24 Finland Kolmonen | Tampere Utd II | 0-3 HT 0-0 | TP-T |
| 03/08/23 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tampere Utd II |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TP-T
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 23/04 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 25/03 | Ylojarvi United Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 6-0 | 17 | 5 | W |
Tampere Utd II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-2 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | ACE Finland Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |