Football · Finland Kolmonen · 28/06, 15:00
PK-37 vs ToU
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PK-37 1443 · ToU 1435
| PK-37 | Draw | ToU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 45% | 20% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.57PK-37 1.91 · ToU 1.67
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.57 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours PK-37: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PK-37 | ToU | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 2.5 | 4.2 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PK-37 3–1–2 ToU
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | ToU | 2-1 | PK-37 |
| 06/03/26 Finland Cup | ToU | 0-1 HT 0-0 | PK-37 |
| 29/08/25 Finland Kolmonen | ToU | 0-4 | PK-37 |
| 27/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | PK-37 | 4-1 | ToU |
| 09/05/25 Finland Kolmonen | ToU | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PK-37 |
| 21/09/24 Finland Kolmonen | ToU | 3-1 HT 1-1 | PK-37 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PK-37
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Kings SC Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | NiemU Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Jippo II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Yllatys Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | ToU Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Kings SC Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | NiemU Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Popinniemen Ponnistus Finland Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
ToU
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Jippo II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Yllatys Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | SC Zulimanit Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | NiemU Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Kings SC Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | PK-37 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Jippo II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Yllatys Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | KUPS Akatemia II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |