⚽ Football · Finland Kolmonen · 25/06, 18:00
FC Kiisto vs VIFK
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Kiisto 1586 · VIFK 1567
| FC Kiisto | Draw | VIFK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 22% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.06FC Kiisto 2.27 · VIFK 1.78
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 75%
Likely score2-1
💎 ValueFC Kiisto +5.3%The model gives this bet 5.3% more probability than its odds (2.40) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 4.06 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Kiisto | VIFK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.4 | 4.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.6 | 2.7 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kiisto 1–1–1 VIFK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/20 Finland Kakkonen Group C | VIFK | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Kiisto |
| 19/09/20 Finland Kakkonen Group C | VIFK | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Kiisto |
| 13/08/20 Finland Kakkonen Group C | FC Kiisto | 0-2 HT 0-1 | VIFK |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Kiisto
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/05 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/05 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/04 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/04 | RoPS Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
VIFK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
4-1 | 7-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
4-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | KPV Finland Cup |
0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 8 | L |