Football · Finland Kolmonen · 29/06, 18:00
VIFK vs Virkia
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · VIFK 1588 · Virkia 1524
| VIFK | Draw | Virkia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| Market | 73% | 16% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.49VIFK 2.58 · Virkia 0.91
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VIFK (rating 1588 vs 1524).
- High estimate: 3.49 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours VIFK: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 2.6 combined avg at HT (1.8 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VIFK | Virkia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 0.6 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 17/50/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7.2 | 1.6 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VIFK 2–0–0 Virkia
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/16 Finland Kakkonen Group C | Virkia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | VIFK |
| 05/05/16 Finland Kakkonen Group C | VIFK | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Virkia |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VIFK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
4-1 | 7-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
4-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
Virkia
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/06 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | JS Hercules Finland Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |