Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/07, 18:00
Nykarleby IK vs Sporting Kristina
Expected goals: 3.67 (Nykarleby IK 1.53 · Sporting Kristina 2.14). The model gives 27% home, 21% draw, 51% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nykarleby IK 1491 · Sporting Kristina 1529
| Nykarleby IK | Draw | Sporting Kristina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 22% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 20% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.67Nykarleby IK 1.53 · Sporting Kristina 2.14
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sporting Kristina: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nykarleby IK | Sporting Kristina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.6 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykarleby IK 0–2–3 Sporting Kristina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/23 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Sporting Kristina |
| 01/09/22 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Sporting Kristina |
| 03/08/21 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sporting Kristina |
| 26/06/20 Finland Kolmonen | Sporting Kristina | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nykarleby IK |
| 20/08/19 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sporting Kristina |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIFK | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Kiisto | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Virkia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 4 | SJK-j | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Nykarleby IK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Ylivieska | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 13 |
| 7 | Sporting Kristina | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | SIF | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | KPV Akatemia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 7 |
| 11 | LBK | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 7 |
| 12 | Sääripotku | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 42 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nykarleby IK | Sporting Kristina |
|---|---|---|
| LBK | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| KPV Akatemia | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| VPV Pallo-Veikot | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| SJK-j | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| SIF | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Ylivieska | 6-4 W | 2-4 L |
| Virkia | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| VIFK | 0-6 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Kiisto | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting Kristina (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nykarleby IK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/06 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
3-3 | 6-4 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
Sporting Kristina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | FF Jaro II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-11 | – | – | L |