Football · South Korea Women K League · 27/06, 12:00
Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto (W)
49%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gangjin Swans (W) 1427 · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1479
| Gangjin Swans (W) | Draw | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.97Gangjin Swans (W) 1.21 · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1.76
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sejong Sportstoto (W) (rating 1427 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Sejong Sportstoto (W): 4-2-0.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gangjin Swans (W) | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 1.3 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangjin Swans (W) 0–2–4 Sejong Sportstoto (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 South Korea Women K League | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 08/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 12/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) |
| 01/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 20/03/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) |
| 19/09/24 South Korea Women K League | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gangjin Swans (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |