Football · South Korea Women K League · 27/06, 12:00
Mungyeong Sangmu Women vs Incheon Red Angels (W)
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1445 · Incheon Red Angels (W) 1489
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | Draw | Incheon Red Angels (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 25% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.42Mungyeong Sangmu Women 0.91 · Incheon Red Angels (W) 1.51
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Incheon Red Angels (W) (rating 1445 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Incheon Red Angels (W): 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | Incheon Red Angels (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1–2–3 Incheon Red Angels (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 01/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 09/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 28/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 15/03/25 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 04/09/24 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Incheon Red Angels (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |