⚽ Football · South Korea Women K League · 26/06, 12:00
Suwon FMC (W) vs Gyeongju (W)
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suwon FMC (W) 1571 · Gyeongju (W) 1529
| Suwon FMC (W) | Draw | Gyeongju (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickSuwon FMC (W) · 62%
Expected goals3.31Suwon FMC (W) 1.98 · Gyeongju (W) 1.33
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 63%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FMC (W) (rating 1571 vs 1529).
- High estimate: 3.31 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suwon FMC (W) | Gyeongju (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.9 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon FMC (W) 2–2–2 Gyeongju (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 South Korea Women K League | Gyeongju (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 22/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Gyeongju (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 26/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 2-5 HT 1-3 | Gyeongju (W) |
| 19/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Gyeongju (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 14/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gyeongju (W) |
| 02/11/24 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 6-5 HT 0-1 | Gyeongju (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Suwon FMC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
Gyeongju (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |