⚽ Football · China Division 2 · 27/06, 13:30
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1511 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1515
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | Draw | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 35% | 24% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.82Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1.08 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.74
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 57%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 82%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.82 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0–1–0 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 China Division 2 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China FA Cup |
1-1 | 6-4 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Meizhou Hakka China FA Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Dalian Young Boy Reserves
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/04 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |