⚽ Football · China Division 2 · 27/06, 13:30
Guangdong Mingtu vs Xiamen Feilu
35%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guangdong Mingtu 1502 · Xiamen Feilu 1509
| Guangdong Mingtu | Draw | Xiamen Feilu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.06Guangdong Mingtu 1.05 · Xiamen Feilu 1.02
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangdong Mingtu | Xiamen Feilu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4 | 1.9 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong Mingtu 0–1–0 Xiamen Feilu
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 China Division 2 | Xiamen Feilu | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Guangdong Mingtu |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Guangdong Mingtu
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/04 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Xiamen Feilu
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/04 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Wuhan Lianzhen China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |