⚽ Football · China Division 2 · 27/06, 10:00
Shanghai Segenda vs Qingdao Red Lions
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shanghai Segenda 1486 · Qingdao Red Lions 1493
| Shanghai Segenda | Draw | Qingdao Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.05Shanghai Segenda 1.19 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.87
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Segenda | Qingdao Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 1.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Segenda 0–1–0 Qingdao Red Lions
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 China Division 2 | Qingdao Red Lions | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Shanghai Segenda |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Shanghai Segenda
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Shanghai Port China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Yanbian Longding China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Qingdao Red Lions
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup |
0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Nanjing City China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 30/04 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |