⚽ Football · China Division 2 · 27/06, 10:00
Dalian Kewei vs Shanghai Port Reserves
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalian Kewei 1535 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1559
| Dalian Kewei | Draw | Shanghai Port Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 37% | 27% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.66 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.66Dalian Kewei 0.91 · Shanghai Port Reserves 0.75
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 60%
BTTSNo · 55%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.66 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Kewei | Shanghai Port Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 3.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Kewei 0–1–0 Shanghai Port Reserves
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 China Division 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dalian Kewei |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Dalian Kewei
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Ironman China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 26/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China FA Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/04 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Shanghai Port Reserves
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 14/04 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |