Football · China Division 2 · 28/06, 13:00
Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1539 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1503
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | Draw | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.46Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.52 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0.94
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 56%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan Reserves: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan Reserves 3–2–0 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 China Division 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
| 26/07/25 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
| 16/05/25 China Division 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
| 14/07/24 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
| 05/05/24 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shandong Taishan Reserves
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Qingdao West Coast China FA Cup |
1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Changchun Yatai China FA Cup |
0-1 | 5-4 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |