Football · China Division 2 · 28/06, 13:00
Beijing Institute vs Tai'an Tiankuang
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beijing Institute 1442 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1506
| Beijing Institute | Draw | Tai'an Tiankuang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 29% | 54% |
| Market | 18% | 26% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.1Beijing Institute 0.67 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1.43
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 52%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tai'an Tiankuang (rating 1442 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Tai'an Tiankuang: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Institute | Tai'an Tiankuang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Institute 0–2–4 Tai'an Tiankuang
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 China Division 2 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Beijing Institute |
| 26/07/25 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tai'an Tiankuang |
| 17/05/25 China Division 2 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Beijing Institute |
| 13/07/24 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tai'an Tiankuang |
| 04/05/24 China Division 2 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Beijing Institute |
| 08/07/23 China Division 2 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Beijing Institute |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Institute
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 30/04 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Liaocheng Legend China FA Cup |
0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Tai'an Tiankuang
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Guizhou Xufengtang China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |