⚽ Football · China Division 2 · 27/06, 13:30
Hubei Istar vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
39%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hubei Istar 1509 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1573
| Hubei Istar | Draw | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 33% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.08Hubei Istar 0.96 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.12
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 52%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (rating 1509 vs 1573).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hubei Istar | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Hubei Istar 0–0–1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 China Division 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hubei Istar |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Hubei Istar
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Beijing Pengrui China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |