Football · China Division 2 · 28/06, 13:30
Wenzhou FC vs Ganzhou Ruishi
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wenzhou FC 1493 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1504
| Wenzhou FC | Draw | Ganzhou Ruishi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 36% | 27% |
| Market | 40% | 31% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.76Wenzhou FC 0.98 · Ganzhou Ruishi 0.78
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.76 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wenzhou FC | Ganzhou Ruishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 0.8 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wenzhou FC 2–2–2 Ganzhou Ruishi
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wenzhou FC |
| 06/07/25 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Wenzhou FC |
| 03/05/25 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
| 15/06/24 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Wenzhou FC |
| 06/04/24 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
| 25/06/23 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wenzhou FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wenzhou FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Ganzhou Ruishi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 24/04 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Yulin Mobei Miners China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |