⚽ Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 27/06, 09:00
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Curtin University SC
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gwelup Croatia SC 1475 · Curtin University SC 1426
| Gwelup Croatia SC | Draw | Curtin University SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.85Gwelup Croatia SC 1.77 · Curtin University SC 1.08
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gwelup Croatia SC (rating 1475 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Gwelup Croatia SC: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gwelup Croatia SC | Curtin University SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 3 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Gwelup Croatia SC 3–1–0 Curtin University SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Curtin University SC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gwelup Croatia SC |
| 28/06/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Curtin University SC |
| 17/04/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Curtin University SC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Gwelup Croatia SC |
| 04/02/24 Australia Friendlies | Gwelup Croatia SC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Curtin University SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Gwelup Croatia SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
Curtin University SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 09/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Western Knights Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |